Netease view: Today is the last trading day of 2007, recalled in 2007, several rounds of storms cattle phase does not change, Outlook 2008, the Olympic boost Benniu endless. Ending the war regardless of finish is not perfect, has not changed in 07 Changyang pattern of the past is a fact, we need to do is a good summary of the success or failure about 2007, obtained a suitable investment approach,Discount UGG boots, in 2008 and then played a pretty good battle.
2007 年ending the war highlighted the suspense
⊙ four leaf development
reporter today, the stock market will usher in the season-ending war in 2007. Time flies, long and short Competing in 2007, experienced a lot of wonderful and turns, the last day of the manner in which the curtain falls? the finish line before the strength of the institutions and the stars, how will the stock perform? end of the year market, how many thought-provoking suspense.
suspense I: K line is the negative end of the year is the sun?
either on line, on line or weekly, the major indices will no doubt to huge candle to draw a beautiful 2007's end. the moment, the only suspense left is also the only Japanese line. Today, the index to a red can add another column for the New Year festive atmosphere on the bit you?
although to a large extent, one-day ups and downs of prices higher chance composition, but the market end of the year Yang Xian expectations are common. newspaper conducted the Joint Eastern wealth network analyst long and short survey, two thirds of the analysts believe that the broader market will continue to rise tomorrow, a third look flat, while the bearish analysts is not.
looking forward to a red end it. some organizations late surge in Awkwardness; a bear market, to suppress opponents Awkwardness opinion is no. for two reasons: First, the current regulatory system has been further improved, using the control to manipulate the stock price late in the net, or compete for top acts, has been prohibited by relevant laws and regulations; Second, this year's top-ranking Most of the broader market fund fund reaches a certain level in terms of scale, they did not have a high degree of coincidence Awkwardness, either lift or suppressed, is likely to be end of last year, so the phenomenon of the market value of spared from war almost disappeared, and this year should be no exception. there will be a full year bull market gains in the negative stock? trend of the last day will reveal the answer.
Wind Information Statistics show that as of yesterday, a relatively December 29, 2006 closing price, the Shanghai and Shenzhen A falling stock has no (complex power calculations, this year removed the listing of new shares and long-term suspension of the stock). had the weakest trend in the annual letter of measuring innovation, but also because of the daily limit yesterday, in one fell swoop from the annual decline of about 6% to annual increase 3.4%.
However, there are individual stocks in the current annual increase of 10% or less. They are: creating the letter in the test, the annual increase of 3.4%; Seagull bathroom (market share it), the annual increase 8.62%; Chinese News Media (market share it), the annual increase 8.2%.
theory, they are likely to become a bull market in the last day of Bear stock. but it can take to avoid the top depends on the market today.
suspense four: who gets the first bull stock?
side of the dividing line is behind the stock in the CBBC struggling, but on the other side, ; who gets the crown, it will be settled today.
Wind information, according to statistics, the biggest gain so far in 2007 the top five stocks (the right to re-calculated excluding shares listed this year) were: ST Ren, up 1576%; Xin Fu medicine, up 1222%; ST Lingguang, up 1152%; Northeast Securities, up 1,088 percent; Jinlong shares (market share it), up 886%.
Although it seems from the data, ST Jen has firmly hold the position of the biggest gains, but Ren ST, ST Lingguang, Northeast Securities, Kam Lung shares were once in 2007 because of restructuring during the long-term suspension, so they are included in gains and not in 2007 within a year. That being said, Xin Fu medicine into the possibility of the year but the biggest winner. (Shanghai Securities News)
the old year is expected to wrap up the perfect multi-year market in the ascendant
market yesterday, a dramatic scene: make every effort to suppress the index before the City in the petroleum, petrochemical and financial and property stocks in the short case of failure, suddenly came before noon a backhand to do more. Shanghai pushed above 5,300 points. Thus, the bull market of the festival is expected birth of a multi-year market.
⊙ world based investment Wang Limin
hesitation in the forward four days before this week, a negative trend for the Sanyang, a great dance hall in the Suddenly, Shanghai from 4812 points to 5316 points yesterday, the highest the stock market index has risen more than 500 points. back to the concept of this trend, the biggest feature is undoubtedly the market is always hesitating.
market has been the main reason for hesitation the following aspects. From a technical perspective, investors have doubts about the success of the second bottom, first on the broader market can recover half of 5000 points and lines without confidence. With the red tape at the bottom of the three soldiers appeared, and resolve the multiple pressure on the file after he double-dip on the ability to break through the neckline bit more concerned about 5200 points. from the market side of view, whether the oil had stabilized, CPIC will not be listed as out of oil weighed on the market similar to the trend of the weight of financial and real estate plate how much downside there, etc., will undoubtedly make a considerable number of investors are not optimistic. The turmoil surrounding the market as many investors also frightened.
However, this hesitation is among the recent the broader market higher again and again, a further verification of the stock market adage: Quote start in despair, hesitation in the forward. Since many people are still hesitant, in turn, is just proof of the current market is safe, there is upside for. and from the Turnover continued to enlarge on Sunday, indicating that the agency is stepping up efforts Jiancang.
Huang, see stocks give you a jump, 5.30 the index of the virtual or the phenomenon. Therefore, investors are still looking at index stock market is doing in fact once again caught in the In the adjustment, and second, because the stock market seems to be no obvious hot spots. In fact, if sustained look at the recent disk, you can know a hot market is very clear: the Olympics, consumer,UGG boots, agriculture, medicine, food and beverage, and yesterday's communications, information technology mused Yes. For various reasons, we estimate that the market is likely the next part of the first half of last year, as re-cloning of small cap, heavy stocks, heavy subject matter of the phenomenon. So investors have to the flow, do not wait until the last to get on subject shares ) resistance, it is possible to adjust, however, the festival followed the broader market is likely to make his way through the resistance level. and once back on the broader market and the average firm, it means the broader market rally back.
incredible to say, the current round of the bull market, nearly all of the festive holidays have become shareholders who receive The index is currently emerging from the tape, point to leave the 6124 there is considerable upside; the second is the broader market fell sharply heavyweight continues to rebound after the request has been, yesterday afternoon, financial, property stocks have to be seen; third is being stir hot money of small cap stocks and other institutions are likely to create market squeeze. In addition, funds early next year, relatively loose surface, but also to market the institutions to do a lot of maneuvers space. (Shanghai Securities News)
opportunistic Jiancang next year's big move
trend by late afternoon the day before yesterday, the market opened 15 points higher yesterday, immediately after covering the opening upward gap, beginning after 10 shocks upstream. Yesterday, the stock market for the sector to 10:30 pm for the two, until 10:30, ; two strong.
as an investor, if you start the layout of mid-December, has now approaching harvest season; if you still have not the layout, you should actively look for opportunities, but we must remain calm, do not blindly chasing the high . the face of the last trading day before and after the holiday market, what investors should do to prepare it?
a strategic long-term arrangement. I by the end of November to early December has been proposed strategic layout, if you do not then I believe the moment you believe that market has picked it? of the stock market next year, no doubt, next year will be the last chance profits, strategic layout is both imperative, but also for next year's earnings must be considered. But the strategic layout does not mean that buying stocks immediately , investors buy stocks must think twice, a good grasp of the rhythm .2008 market has not yet entered, there are many opportunities into the Council, even if entered after 2008, early January, the layout is still time.
Second, the short-term attention to risk. experienced a wave of increases, the part of the stocks have been profitable. from the current trend, the market prices before the holiday has become a consensus to do with the main market, today's prices should be reasonable. Once Yang Xian closing out a solid week, after the holiday there must be ascribed to chance. next week may be only short-term whipsaw ascribed the prelude, as some of the main stocks Shigekura lucrative profit to cash is likely to lead to the rapid decline in index , wave Xipan will occur immediately. In other words, before that, the stock can be a lucrative part of profit-taking, when the time has really come down quickly and do not panic,Bailey UGG boots, this whipsaw faster, and go .
three dips to increase positions. uplink index was higher, faster, more intense volatility, which is law of the stock market, no need to panic. If the broader market after a rapid decline after a wave of fast spikes, indicating the broader market has almost completely changing its stance, but also means that when the broader market fall to the strong support level, you can select the stock to increase in mid and late .1 position of the stock market will be magnificent. (accounting ho) (Shanghai Securities News)
Hot force to help the six new high
China Huarong Securities
A-share market two years from the end of 2005 rose mainly around performance and value growth is expected to expand the revaluation of the two main lines. With the 2008 Central prudent fiscal policy and tight monetary policy, the majority of the industry's performance may decline, the speculation of the two main themes will be weakened. taking into account the appreciation of the RMB against the U.S. dollar net inflow of international capital market will continue to maintain sufficient liquidity and capital market-driven features will run through 2008, but not broad based, large-scale market. We expect the Chinese A-share market in 2008 year will show a dip pick-up the general trend high in the small swings.
sound on the Necessity of the whole, in the sub-loan crisis of the weaker U.S. economy, oil and other energy prices remain high and the dollar led to large capital flows to emerging markets, such as multiple negative factors under the influence of global economy in 2008 is expected to slow. and continued appreciation of the yuan of China's economy, domestic demand and investment remained strong, inflation is expected to be controlled structural factors such as support, it still generally good. and the current Chinese economy sustainable development still faces great pressure, to prevent economic growth from becoming overheated, to prevent structural price increases from evolving into significant inflation is currently the primary task of macroeconomic regulation and control, the implementation of prudent fiscal policy and tight monetary policy is rapid and healthy development of Chinese economy to an important guarantee.
Although the overall international and domestic macroeconomic situation not too optimistic, but data show that the momentum of domestic demand is expected in 2008 will continue to maintain a high level, promote economic will continue to support good Zhuyin to China's rapid economic development. The current international currency exchange market, the yuan relative strength, with the renminbi is the acceleration of capital would force the U.S. to China's migrant, which to some extent, will increase the liquidity of China surplus, increasing domestic inflationary pressures; but the positive side, bring sufficient funds for development, as long as the rational use of, and guide the transfer of funds to long-term investment, which is very beneficial for China's development.
08 concentrating on the six Hot
by the macro-economic analysis to the national strategy as the core of the market technicals, we believe that the trend in general, and now to the 2008 Spring Festival, finishing bottom of the market shock period building, in June 2008 should be high after a rebound, but the recovery is still a part of finishing shock to shock the second half of 2008 picked up again after falling and may end or beginning of 2009 hit a new high.
based on international and domestic economic slowdown economic adjustment and the adoption of sound fiscal policy and tight monetary policies and other factors considered, hot main line in 2008 will focus on the following six areas:
an appreciation of the RMB. including Sino-foreign cooperative, foreign funding and resources to enhance the value of the benefit coal, some non-ferrous metals, financial and other, concerns Nanshan Aluminum, Yunnan Copper, Shenzhen Development Bank, Shenzhen Chiwan, Guoyang New Energy (market share it).
Second, the national strategy. Baokuo small cap high tech, biomedical , concerned about the extension of Chinese intelligence, through rich micro-electricity, Kunming Pharmaceutical, Bai pharmaceutical benefits.
three energy saving. including wind power, solar energy, coal, electrical integration and environmental protection and recycling economy related to the integrated companies, concerned about the Goldwind, since the instrument of shares (market share it), Long net environmental protection, Luan ring can.
four brands. including consumer domestic and international famous brand companies, concerned about the Quanjude, Maotai, Shanxi Fen .
five stock index futures. including the ability to left and right index and capacity of the plate margin, attention to China Railway, CITIC Securities, Hai Tong Securities (market share it).
six Olympic concept .2008 would be more active early, but the strategy should be prepared to just leave. (China Securities Journal)
yesterday to buy two shares A-share market holiday
more interesting trend in early trading as bank shares, the relative weakness in real estate stocks The trend was weak. But the unexpected is that banking stocks, real estate shares stabilized stabilized soon after the opening, quickly pulled up to China Unicom in the 3G sector, represented by the cooperation, drawing the broader market continued its own run, and ultimately on Shanghai Composite Index closed rose 75 points, Shenzhen Stock Index is more robust, rose 2.12%, turnover also increased to 227.7 billion yuan between the two cities, expires earlier amplification of two percent. It appears that at the end of exerting a market worth the wait. < br> So the two positive information
yesterday, there are two A-share market led the engine: First, bank stocks, real estate stocks on behalf of the RMB assets for the shares; Second, as the representative of China Unicom 3G plate.
the strong momentum of the two engines information 则 were divided into two, the former is the speed of RMB appreciation, RMB exchange rate yesterday rose 219 basis points in short, breaking 7.31 mark integer, since the reform of the exchange reached 7.3079 high. experience in overseas markets, shows, the currency appreciation is bound to bring prices in local currency assets, so a new high with the RMB exchange rate as the core assets of RMB varieties banking stocks, property stocks rose strongly Quotes naturally occurring.
then who that is, as the representative of China Unicom 3G sector, strong market momentum is mainly from the media a message that mobile communication network of major projects for implementation. meeting that the program has matured, with a start implementation of the conditions the communications equipment sector to bring new industry needs, to boost funds from various quarters for their future growth expectations, so China Unicom, ZTE and other large cap stocks repeatedly try to be brave, as the broader market rose yesterday, another engine.
continue today ascribed
At the same time, Handicap yesterday showed that although the 3G segment, and RMB Asset hot plate into the mainstream market, but recently has remained strong chemical stocks, pharmaceutical stocks are still fairly good trend, the former chemical industry, such as the six countries , Yunnan, salinization, chemical and other varieties in Thailand, and the latter as Haixiang Pharmaceutical (market share it), Beijing New Pharmaceutical (market share it), the modern pharmaceutical and other varieties.
such information on the show, A hot stock market, the formation of the orderly wheeled layout features. but also in the led hot switching process, and not a importantly, I believe that banking stocks, property stocks and other assets, shares of RMB and chemical stocks, pharmaceutical stocks and other follow-up to the plate in a strong market there are still strong to do more kinetic energy, especially banking shares and real estate stocks continued their pre- Bu Jinjin resolve a regulation down the pressure but also to resolve a Duo Gaoqi valuation, therefore, growth is expected in the coming year performance, driven by the appreciation of the Renminbi, the strength of the plate yesterday, may mean that they have been out of the bottom.
this just to do with the end of the market value of institutional money market consistent with market expectations, because today is the last trading day of 2007, I believe there will be a lot of institutional money has to do with high market value of the impulse, which appears to promote the broader market soared today to further trend, at the end of exerting a very strong market trend is expected.
layout of the two hot
However, there are investors concerned because four days of rest on New Year's, fearing Festival market volatility. In this regard, I believe that from past experience point of view,UGG boots clearance, before the Spring Festival and further policy tightening appears low probability, so, on the broader market's Chongjilidu not large, then, Bizhe relatively optimistic to assume that before the Spring Festival, A-share market would not be a big emergency down market. In other words, not just solar year end market emerged Alice, and Alice will appear in the lunar year end market, that is, the stock market before the Spring Festival can be relatively optimistic.
Therefore, in this, I suggest investors operation is relatively more positive thinking, can the layout of two types of stocks:
First, the phenomenon of emerging positive plate, mainly referring to banks, property stocks and the 3G sector, including banks, property stocks relatively more certain growth prospects of some suggest that investors can actively configured, for banking stocks, the small and medium sized banks room to grow relatively optimistic, Shanghai Pudong Development Bank, Bank of Communications (market share it), and other varieties can buy low, sell hold. real estate stocks is a lot of ownership of land reserves or quarterly in advance third quarter, a large variety of accounts, such as Dalian Friendship, Metro B, the Air real estate, and other varieties of deep Tianjian.
Second, the recent stock has been strong chemical and pharmaceutical stocks, I suggest that investors focus on Pharmaceutical stocks, relatively optimistic about the 2008 health reform in the context of pharmaceutical stocks for growth, especially those with fixed-point advantage in the production of pharmaceutical stocks, Double-Crane Pharmaceutical, North China Pharmaceutical (market share it), medicine and other species can be low-southwestern suction hold.
No comments:
Post a Comment